Economics
Brent crude oil hits $120 by April 30, 2026
No
64%
0.6380
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Yes
36%
0.3620
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Return
Gain
Probability
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Price Chart
Rules & Description
alvis

The price of Brent Crude Oil for this market shall be defined as the daily closing price of the front-month futures contract, as reported by ICE and available at:

https://www.ice.com/products/219/Brent-Crude-Futures/data?marketId=6018433&span=1

This market will resolve to Yes if, on any date up to and including April 30, 2026, the closing price of the front-month Brent crude futures contract is $120 per barrel or higher. Intraday prices will not be considered for the purpose of market resolution.

Otherwise, the market will resolve to No.

UserActionSharesAssetAmountProbabilityTime
market-testerBought100No59.8556% → 64%
alvisBought50No26.8752% → 56%
alvisSold400Yes256.3678% → 48%
alvisSold100Yes80.7083% → 78%
alvisSold50Yes42.1685% → 83%
alvisBought100Yes83.1681% → 85%
alvisBought10Yes8.0580% → 81%
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