Economics
Brent crude oil drops to $90 by April 30, 2026
No
70%
0.6971
BUYSELL
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Yes
30%
0.3029
BUYSELL
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Gain
Probability↑
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Return
Risk
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Price Chart
alvis

The price of Brent Crude Oil for this market shall be defined as the daily closing price of the front-month futures contract, as reported by ICE and available at:

https://www.ice.com/products/219/Brent-Crude-Futures/data?marketId=6018433&span=1

This market will resolve to Yes if, on any date up to and including April 30, 2026, the closing price of the front-month Brent crude futures contract is $90 per barrel or lower. Intraday prices will not be considered for the purpose of market resolution.

Otherwise, the market will resolve to No.

Trade History
UserActionSharesAssetAmountProbabilityTime
alvisBought500No250.0030% → 70%
alvisSold400No183.9662% → 30%
alvisBought50No30.1358% → 62%
alvisBought40No22.6555% → 58%
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alvis
On April 17, it closed at 90.308 - so close. But now the Strait of Hormuz is closed again, so the price will rise again.