Technology
Will at least 100 MW of operational computing capacity be deployed in space before 2029?
No
98%
0.9820
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Yes
2%
0.0180
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Rules & Description
chieftokensofficer

This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2029, at 00:00 UTC, one or more space-based computing infrastructures collectively provide at least 100 MW of average electrical power dedicated to computing workloads and are publicly confirmed as operational.

To qualify, infrastructure must:

Have been launched and deployed in space;
Be operational and capable of running computing workloads;
Have documented electrical capacity specifically allocated to computing.

The 100 MW threshold may be reached by a single space-based data center or by an aggregate fleet of satellites. Announced, ordered, or launched-but-not-operational capacity will not count.

The threshold refers to average power available to computing hardware, excluding peak solar-generation capacity and power allocated to propulsion, communications, or cooling.

Resolution will primarily rely on official operator disclosures corroborated by reliable public sources. If sufficient evidence is unavailable by March 31, 2029, the market resolves NO

Trade History
UserActionSharesAssetAmountProbabilityTime
alvisBought500No477.6891% → 98%
token_blackBought600No465.6758% → 91%
jkflzafioaheiufheufheiuzfhiufehiuzfhiueSold300No208.1079% → 58%
vmarchaudBought100Yes18.2916% → 21%
chieftokensofficerBought500No343.9650% → 84%
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