Community Rules

Predimarkt aims to host thoughtful, civil, and responsible forecasting.

Purpose of the community

Predimarkt is intended to support constructive discussion about uncertain future events. Participants should aim to contribute thoughtful forecasts, evidence, and respectful dialogue.

Be respectful

Communication on the platform should remain civil, relevant, and respectful. Harassment, intimidation, hateful conduct, or persistent disruption are not allowed.

Prohibited markets

Markets must not promote or celebrate violence, physical harm, or criminal activity. In particular, markets about assassination, death speculation, violent acts, or similar harmful scenarios are not permitted.

Markets concerning individuals

Markets that speculate about private individuals, health, death, criminal accusations, or other sensitive personal matters may be removed.

Markets about public figures or public events may be permitted when framed in a responsible and non-abusive manner.

Responsible forecasting

Markets about public events, politics, economics, science, or culture may be permitted when framed responsibly and without targeting individuals in a harmful or abusive manner.

No unlawful or abusive use

  • No fraudulent or deceptive activity.
  • No impersonation or privacy violations.
  • No spam, manipulation, or artificial market activity.
  • No content that is unlawful under applicable law.

Market creator responsibilities

  • Create markets in clear and good-faith terms.
  • Provide transparent resolution criteria.
  • Resolve markets fairly and in a timely manner.
  • Refund markets when proper resolution is not possible.

Good-faith interpretation of markets

Market questions should be interpreted in good faith according to their stated description, the context in which they were created, and the reasonable expectations of participants.

Where ambiguity exists, interpretation may consider the intent of the market creator and the understanding that a reasonable participant would have had at the time the market was active.

Abandoned markets

If a market creator becomes inactive or deletes their account before resolving a market, the platform operator may resolve, close, or refund the market in order to protect participants.

Platform intervention and market integrity

To maintain the integrity and educational purpose of the platform, the operator may intervene in markets when necessary.

Such intervention may include:

  • closing markets
  • refunding trades
  • removing markets
  • restricting participation
  • suspending accounts involved in abuse

Intervention decisions are made in good faith to preserve the fairness and reliability of the platform.

Moderation

Predimarkt may remove content, close markets, limit functionality, or suspend accounts when necessary to maintain the safety and integrity of the platform.

Last updated: 2026-03-15